Virtus Entella vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 1
CES
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACD
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
3 - 0
USA
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAS
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
ACD
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 1
PON
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
PON
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
JS2
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |