Virtus Entella vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ACD
4 - 0
ASG
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TER
0 - 2
ACD
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ACD
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 1
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 5
ACD
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MOD
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PON
1 - 2
MOD
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 2
ASG
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 2
MOD
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |