Virtus Entella vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ACD
0 - 0
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACD
29%
30%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
USA
0 - 0
ACD
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ACD
3 - 0
PON
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
CUN
2 - 0
ACD
13%
26%
61%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ASL
3 - 1
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 0
ASL
56%
26%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ASL
3 - 0
PIA
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
JS2
1 - 0
ASL
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |