Virtus Entella vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VNZ
0 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ACD
3 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
ACD
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ACD
0 - 0
USC
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACD
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 2
VNZ
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
ACL
48%
28%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 1
SAV
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ABN
2 - 0
ACL
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |