Virtus Entella vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
SAM
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 2
SAM
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
5 - 0
ACD
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
GEN
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACD
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CES
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 4
CES
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
CES
12%
21%
67%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
GEN
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |