Virtus Entella vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIM
2 - 1
ACD
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
TRE
19%
26%
56%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REN
0 - 2
ACD
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ACD
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACS
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
VIN
59%
24%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
ACG
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 5
VIN
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
USP
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |