Virtus Castelfranco vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
USP
0 - 1
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 0
SDA
28%
23%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
VIR
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 3
RAV
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
COR
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 1
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 2
LEN
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIO
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
URI
1 - 2
LEN
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 3
ALB
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |