Virtus Castelfranco vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
VIR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
USP
39%
28%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
5 - 0
VIR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RAV
0 - 0
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IMO
0 - 2
SCA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SDT
2 - 4
IMO
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IMO
1 - 0
COR
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
URI
2 - 0
IMO
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -3 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
IMO
2 - 0
MEZ
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |