Virtus Castelfranco vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 0
VIR
51%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
CLO
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
MEZ
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIR
80%
15%
5%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AVI
3 - 1
VIR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
IMO
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
FOR
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 0
FOR
23%
23%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 2
LEG
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
ROM
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |