Virtus Castelfranco vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
VIR
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 3
RAV
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
COR
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
26%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SDA
1 - 1
MEZ
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SDT
0 - 0
SDA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
SDA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SDA
1 - 0
FIO
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
SDA
0 - 1
ACS
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |