Virtus Casarano vs Mariglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
VIR
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
LAV
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PVM
1 - 2
VIR
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
BIS
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FCF
2 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASD
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |