Virtus Casarano vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASF
3 - 2
VIR
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 6
HYR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
VIR
26%
23%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
MOL
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 3
MAR
58%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
NOC
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 1
PVM
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HYR
0 - 2
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
4 - 3
LAV
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |