Virtus Casarano vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
ASD
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
VIR
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 1
ROT
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
NAR
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 0
BIS
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HYR
2 - 1
ASF
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
3 - 2
ASD
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 0
MOL
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 2
ASF
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |