Virtus Casarano vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 1
VIR
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
4 - 1
AGR
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
VIR
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 1
GLA
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
USB
1 - 0
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ASF
6 - 3
USF
3%
7%
90%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ASF
2 - 0
TAR
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
ASF
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASF
1 - 0
FBC
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 0
ASF
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |