Virtus Casarano vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VIR
2 - 0
FCF
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FIA
1 - 1
VIR
20%
25%
56%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
ASD
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 1
TAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
AUD
1 - 1
SOR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PUT
0 - 0
AUD
10%
17%
73%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
USB
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PIC
1 - 1
AUD
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LAV
0 - 0
AUD
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |