Virtus Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 1
SOR
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 1
VIR
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
USB
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 4
ASF
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HYR
2 - 0
MOL
34%
22%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
MOL
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
NOC
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
MOL
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |