Virtus Bolzano vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
66.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 3
VIR
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 2
PSM
11%
17%
73%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
CIS
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
VIR
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
PON
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 2
SER
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
DAR
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 5
SER
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
DCA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |