Virtus Bolzano vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
CIS
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLG
2 - 1
VIR
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
VBE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
PSM
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
PER
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 3
PSM
34%
27%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |