Virtus Bolzano vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 0
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
VIR
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
PON
26%
26%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PER
1 - 1
FAN
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
VBE
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |