Virtus Bolzano vs Campodarsego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
10º
5º
53
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
VIR
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
AST
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
VIR
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Campodarsego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
AST
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SDA
2 - 0
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CAM
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |