Virtus Bolzano vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIR
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 3
PER
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 0
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
VIR
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 70 | 53 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 3
PON
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEC
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 5
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 2
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |