Virtus Bergamo vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
VBE
53%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 1
VAR
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
VBE
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
PSM
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
VBE
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SON
0 - 2
INV
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SON
2 - 4
LEC
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 1
SON
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
SER
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |