Virtus Bergamo vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VBE
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 2
VBE
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 0
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
VBE
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 3
INV
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
SER
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
LEC
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
MAP
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |