Virtus Bergamo vs Romanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REZ
0 - 1
VBE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
VBE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 1
VBE
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Romanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 2
PON
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 0
ROM
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 3
CRE
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 0
ROM
87%
9%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 0
GRU
10%
16%
75%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +3 |