Virtus Bergamo vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 0
VBE
21%
21%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VBE
3 - 1
ROM
87%
10%
4%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REZ
0 - 1
VBE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
VBE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 3
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
PRO
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 0
CRE
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 1
PRO
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 0
ROM
87%
9%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |