Virtus Bergamo vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
VBE
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
5 - 0
OLG
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
VBE
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PSM
6 - 2
SCA
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
OLG
1 - 2
PSM
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
4 - 2
PSM
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |