Virtus Bergamo vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
VBE
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
4 - 0
VBE
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
VBE
66%
18%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 3
INV
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
1 - 0
INV
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
3 - 0
PSM
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |