Virtus Bergamo vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
VBE
41%
24%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
VBE
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
32%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 3
LEC
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
INV
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIA
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
4 - 0
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIA
8%
17%
75%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |