Virtus Bergamo vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BUS
1 - 0
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VBE
2 - 3
SCA
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 3
VBE
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VBE
2 - 1
ACL
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VBE
4 - 1
PON
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 0
PON
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 4
PER
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
GRU
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |