Virtus Bergamo vs MapelloBonate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PON
5 - 2
VBE
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 1
FIO
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 2
VBE
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 1
BUS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VBE
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MapelloBonate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAP
41%
27%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 1
GRU
23%
22%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
MAP
69%
19%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |