Virtus Bergamo vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
VBE
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VBE
3 - 0
VIR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 2
VBE
40%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 2
UAR
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 2
LEV
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 0
GRU
32%
23%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 1
PRO
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 2
GRU
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |