Virtus Bergamo vs Dro Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
VBE
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 2
PSM
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
VBE
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 0
DCA
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 0
OLG
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
FAN
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 1
DCA
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |