Virtus Bergamo vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VBE
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VBE
2 - 0
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VBE
1 - 2
PRO
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REZ
1 - 2
VBE
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
SCA
56%
23%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SON
1 - 0
DAR
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
DAR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |