Virtus Bergamo vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 2
UAR
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
VBE
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PSM
3 - 3
VBE
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
5 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 3
LEV
84%
10%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
DAR
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |