Virtus Bergamo vs Bustese Milano City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VBE
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 0
OLG
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 2
VBE
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
52%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 2
SER
22%
21%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUS
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BUS
3 - 3
PRO
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAP
1 - 1
BUS
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |