Virovitica vs Podravac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
8º
21
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 0
NKS
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RMS
4 - 0
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 0
VIR
61%
20%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 2
PAP
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Podravac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POD
1 - 2
POD
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
POD
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 1
POD
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
POD
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POD
1 - 3
NKS
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |