Virkiä vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
75.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virkiä
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
GBK
8 - 1
VIR
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
HER
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
STC
6 - 1
VIR
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
VIF
5 - 1
VIR
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FCJ
4 - 2
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 3
ACK
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
MUS
3 - 0
NAR
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIF
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
FCY
1 - 2
NAR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FCJ
2 - 1
NAR
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |