Virginia vs Syracuse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
PIP
5 - 0
VIC
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
LOC
2 - 1
VIC
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 3
DBD
67%
18%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
2 - 0
VTH
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NCA
2 - 0
VIC
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Syracuse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NCS
2 - 1
SYO
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SYO
0 - 0
NCA
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 1
SYO
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CET
3 - 1
SYO
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SYO
1 - 2
STJ
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |