Virginia vs Pittsburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
56%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
NCS
1 - 2
VIC
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
VIC
2 - 1
BCE
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 1
VIC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 2
NCA
44%
22%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
VIC
35%
22%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pittsburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
PIP
13%
17%
70%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PIP
3 - 2
DBD
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
PIP
3 - 2
SYO
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CET
0 - 2
PIP
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 1
PIP
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |