Virginia vs Duke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
2 - 0
VTH
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NCA
2 - 0
VIC
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
NDF
82%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 3
GTH
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
WKD
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Duke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
3 - 4
PIP
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DBD
0 - 2
NDF
75%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 4
DBD
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |