Vinogradar vs Imotski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NKR
1 - 1
VIN
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIN
3 - 0
MEI
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
2 - 2
RUD
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIN
1 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HNG
0 - 0
VIN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Imotski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
IMO
1 - 1
RUD
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
IMO
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HNG
1 - 0
IMO
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IMO
0 - 0
MOS
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HAS
1 - 0
IMO
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |