Jaska Vinogradar vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaska Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 1
VIN
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIN
3 - 2
NKC
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
POM
3 - 0
VIN
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
HDR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NKD
2 - 5
VIN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
HDR
2 - 0
SOL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IMO
1 - 0
HDR
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
HDR
1 - 1
NKR
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 0
HDR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
HDR
2 - 0
RUD
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |