Vinogradar vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
HNS
1 - 1
VIN
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 0
JUN
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
POM
5 - 2
VIN
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 0
IMO
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 0
VIN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
HNG
0 - 0
RUD
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
LUK
0 - 1
HNG
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HNG
1 - 0
NKD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HAS
3 - 4
HNG
21%
24%
56%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HNG
1 - 0
NKZ
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |