Vineuil SF vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
14º
14º
3
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 41 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 39 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 38 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 33 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 33 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 22 |
14º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vineuil SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POI
2 - 0
VSF
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VSF
2 - 3
TOU
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 0
VSF
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VSF
2 - 3
TOU
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 1
VSF
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
50%
23%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 3
BOU
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |