Vindbjart vs IK Start II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
6º
5º
12
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 54 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 45 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 31 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vindbjart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFO
3 - 2
VIN
34%
21%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIN
0 - 1
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SJI
0 - 1
VIN
48%
21%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VIN
3 - 0
ODD
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIN
38%
21%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
IK Start II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IKS
2 - 3
FRA
9%
14%
76%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
IKS
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IKS
0 - 3
SOL
13%
16%
71%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
IKS
0 - 4
SFO
30%
21%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
IKS
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |