Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Vinaròs vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinaròs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIN
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
VIN
2 - 1
VAL
34%
29%
36%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIN
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
IBI
3 - 1
VIN
59%
25%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIN
4 - 0
MNC
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIN
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
UDM
0 - 1
VIL
37%
32%
32%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIN
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIL
0 - 1
IBI
58%
25%
16%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |