Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
Vinaròs vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinaròs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SEV
2 - 0
VIN
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VIN
2 - 1
OLI
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
VIN
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CDZ
3 - 0
VIN
62%
24%
14%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VIN
3 - 1
CPC
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
OSA
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
VIN
90%
7%
3%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
MAL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |