Vimy vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
6º
29
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 3
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 3
VIM
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VIM
0 - 3
LIL
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
VIM
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 1
SAI
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAI
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
VAL
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
LIL
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PDC
4 - 0
VAL
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |