Vimy vs US Maubeuge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
37
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VIM
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 3
LEN
19%
19%
61%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
VIM
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 4
AMI
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 2
VIM
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
AAC
59%
23%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
USM
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
USM
0 - 2
LON
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
USM
0 - 0
IRI
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |