Vimy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
13º
12º
3
2º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OCP
3 - 3
VIM
23%
21%
55%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIM
0 - 0
DIE
39%
24%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
VIM
13%
18%
70%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 4
PDC
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 0
VIM
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
5 - 2
REI
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IRI
2 - 1
LEN
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 2
LEN
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 0
FEI
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |